What are my chances

<p>I am a math and government major with a economics minor at the University of Texas at Austin. I am a junior now (senior in hours) and thinking about Political Science Graduate School. I am very interested in Methodology and Political Economy. My top choices is Columbia, but I would like to know how I would fare at the other top ranked programs.</p>

<p>I plan on applying to in order of preference
1. Columbia
2. Rochester
3. MIT
4. NYU
5. Washington University in St. Louis
6. Duke
7. University of Texas-Austin
8. John Hopkins</p>

<p>My GRE score is amazing, I got a 800 quant 780 Verbal.</p>

<p>I have 3 great recommendations 2 are from government professors (full professors) and one from a professor emeritus in the economics school. I would rate all of these letters between a 9 or a 10.</p>

<p>I worked for a public policy think tank focusing on aid allocation in Africa.</p>

<p>I am graduating with honors in government</p>

<p>I coauthored a article on Korean Nationalism and its effects on geopolitics that got published.</p>

<p>My stats in terms of GPA are what worry me</p>

<p>My first year I screwed up and got a 1.6. My cumulative GPA now is a 3.1. My last 60 hours is a 3.7. My goverment GPA is a 3.8: brought down by my freshmen year. </p>

<p>Also do they take into account classes taken because my undergrad schedule was grueling
I have taken the following math and economic classes
Microtheory
Macrotheory
Econometrics (set the curve in the class)
Decision Theory (Had the high grade, took in the government department)
The three calculus set
Differential Calculus
Linear Algebra and Matrix Theory
Applied Linear Algebra
Applied Statistics
Probability
Real Analysis 1 & 2
Both Introduction to and Advanced Symbolic Logic</p>