What are the actual chances of getting accepted RD after a deferral EA or ED?

<p>Hi all. I got deferred from Yale the other day, and I was wondering: do I really have a shot at this in the RD pool? You should probably know that yes, I have applied to other schools (8 of them actually) and there is a decent range of them. I am guessing that my stats are competitive enough to even be considered, so I'm not re-posting them. Although, it's probably significant that my math scores in the SAT were low for Yale standards (610). I would just like to know in general, do the deferrees have a crappy outlook?</p>

<p>If you absolutely must look at the stats to help me out:
<a href="http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/yale-university/616404-official-yale-2013-scea-results-thread-15.html%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://talk.collegeconfidential.com/yale-university/616404-official-yale-2013-scea-results-thread-15.html&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p>

<p>(last entry I believe)</p>

<p>There are two factors to consider here:</p>

<p>One, deferred Yale EA candidates have about a 10% chance of getting in RD (according to Yale's Office of Institutional Research).</p>

<p>Two, your 610 on Math is way below Yale standards. The 10th percentile for admits is a 650.</p>

<p>That being said, you can get away with poor scores if your ECs are good. And you never know what Yale is looking for--they "sculpt" their classes.</p>