<p>Not that we have any decisions yet, but what are the chances for an applicant deferred in the early round to actually be admitted in the regular decisions round?</p>
<p>I know that the official statement is that they feel that they'd like to wait for more information to arrive about the applicant before they make a decision, but what if the application is beyond any meaningful improvement?</p>
<p>Is it just a virtual rejection letter for the regular round, as well?</p>
<p>I can’t remember where I read this, but your chances as a deferred applicant are about equal to all other RD applicants. What Harvard does is to re-vist all deferred students at the end of their RD cycle – after they have seen the entire RD applicant pool.</p>
<p>An admissions officer at another top-tier school answered this question at a presentation I attended. She said the chances for deferred EA applicants in the RD round might be slightly better than those for RD applicants, because the school knows it was probably your first choice and the committee is already familiar with your application. But I’m guessing this varies from school to school–some places defer relatively few students, so maybe for those schools, an EA deferral is a likely RD rejection.</p>
<p>@mcfrankshc
My “~3%” statement is an extrapolation (I don’t want to pull up the actual numbers of class of 2018) of those slots available after the EA round divided by the deferred EA apps and the RD apps. I think it worked out to be around 3% or so. I’m sure anyone can dig up these figures and derive the actual admit rate for the RD pool.</p>
<p>@Robots156 - as stated above, it’s estimated that about 3% of deferred applicants are accepted. This is similar to the RD admission rate, however it’s an apples and oranges comparison, as the deferred pool only consists of applicants who have not been accepted or rejected in the first round, while the RD applicant pool includes applicants who would have been accepted or rejected had they applied EA. The initial composition of the applicant pools will differ too, as there will be fewer hooked and more long-shot applicants in the RD pool.</p>