What are the chances that I get into the dorm of my preference at NYU?

<p>I've SIRed at New York University, and I'm picking my dorms right now.</p>

<p>The NYU Housing Portal has asked me to rank the freshman dorms by my preference. Here they are:
Third North
Founders
Hayden
Rubin
U Hall
Weinstein</p>

<p>What are the chances that I can get the dorm I prefer?
What are some current students' experiences?</p>

<p>I've spoken to two current freshmen and both of them said they didn't their first choice.
Perhaps I could switch my first and second choices so I have more of a chance to get in?</p>