What are the chances?

I am a Junior (rising Senior this fall) at an Episcopal School in Washington D.C and I was wondering what my chances would be in getting into these colleges.

Notre Dame
Duke
Vanderbilt
Georgetown
Northwestern
University of Virginia (In-State)
William & Mary (In-State)
George Mason University (In-State)
NYU
University of Miami

Stats-
Race: Indian-American
3.74 Unweighted GPA (School does not do weighted grades, there’s an upward grade trend as my Freshman year I was in and out of the Hospital)
The school does not offer that many AP’s but I took as many as I could this year/honors classes
1490 SAT (I know this is a little low and I might take it again)

Extracurriculars-
Public Forum Debate (6 years involvement, Top 8 in the State of Maryland, Top 4 in the State of Virginia, Top 10% at the Harvard National Tournament (Freshman Year), NSDA Nationals Three Times Qualifier from the State of Virginia, & Four total Gold bids to TOC) → I am really passionate about this extracurricular and have dedicated a lot of time towards it.

Model UN (3 Years involvement, No Major Awards here I just do it for fun to help debate)

Cross Country + Track involvement (Made Varsity for both but I don’t think my application will focus on this at all)

120 Hours of Social/Community Service (Again I don’t think my application will focus on this)

A small business I made where I help write Debate Cases, make notes, & help with Speech Redoes. With the profits, I help run a debate education group for underprivileged kids in the DMV Area (Its the DMV so not that many kids but it feels good to help)

I would really love to know what my chances are for these schools.

So I’m going to base this off the assumption that your major is PolySci or Econ or something debate related. If it’s premed, CS, theater, or the like, then all this is inaccurate. Obviously you’re exceptional at debate, at least one of your essays should go to it and maybe one on teamwork specifically, since PF is with your partner and all your successes are also dependent on that partner. You’re competitive for all your listed schools, the only hit or miss I can see is Vanderbilt. Just work on your SAT and focus on your grades next year and you should be good.