What do you think my chances are for UCSB history major (transfer)?

Hi my gpa is 3.22 (if you count winter semester). The problem is, before winter, my gpa was at a 2.94. What do you think my chances are as a history major transfer (to UCSB)? Thanks

UC Transfer GPA admit data by major and campus: https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/infocenter/transfers-major

Hope this helps gauge your chances.