When will my admission decision to UVM arrive/do I have a good chance?

<p>I applies to UVM as a VIP early action candidate on 10/31. It says that the decision is rolling and will take 1-2 weeks. My school sent out my transcript weeks ago, though, and the UVM site says they haven't received it yet. I plan on talking to the guidance dept at my school tomorrow but should this affect my application? And when it is completed, how long would you expect it to take? They say 1-2 weeks but I've seen some people say it took 4.
Also if you could just tell me if I have a good chance or not of getting in that would be much appreciated!
ACT: 31
GPA: 3.65
Recs: great, one from a harvard alum
Essay: well written, unique
EC: student council, student council rep of NHS, drama club, crew team, key club (community service)</p>