Where is the starting line, anyway?

“insight to prior peers’ results is not encouraging in this space.”
@DavidPurdy
what "insight’?
All a NMSF has to do to become a NMF is have their PSAT scores exceed the state cutoff score, and are confirmed with hi SAT scores[ check], NOT have C’s or D’s on their transcript[ check], and write a short essay that his HS counselor sends with a LOR to NMSC in Nov. . The forms for the essay and LOR come to the HS in late Sept.
THATS ALL!

those are the ONLY reasons why a qualified student would NOT advance to NMF status.
Has your DS’s HS counselor NOT done his job in the past?
Perhaps past students have chosen to not writte the required essay because they were only applying to colleges that did NOT sponsor NMSC and thus would not receive a scholarship?
or???