Which college do I have the best chance at?

I wouldn’t pick an ED school based on the the liklihood of you being accepted. Sure, that may be part of the strategy, but if you don’t have a clear first choice - and they’re all reachy - you better have a little more to go on. Do some more research on fit and ED to the one where you would have the best chance at (educational) happiness and success. Also make sure affordability is in the mix too. Have you run the NPCs for each of them?

Many students come back to these boards in January and February second guessing, even regretting, their ED choice and decision. If you base an ED app mainly on acceptance rate statistics, you are likely to be one of them.