Which is good path to join RTF in UT Austin

My daughter applied for RTF program, but she was capped.
She has got admissions from SMU (Film and media arts) UNT (RTVF), UTD (communications) and Texas A&M (communications).

Her goal is to join RTF in UT Austin
Can you please let me know Which gives her better chances of getting into RTF: by taking the CAP program or transfer from UNT or UTD or SMU?

Thanks for help