<p>Over 25 years ago I retired from WPI Admissions. Back then, admissions officers with analytical backgrounds (e.g., engineering) knew that SAT and ACT scores were not very good at forcasting first year success in college, even engineering colleges.</p>
<p>We knew that the PROBABILITY of a freshman managing first year calculus were very weak if the math SAT was under 580. We also knew that high school rank in class was a far better prediction of college grades than SAT scores. We also knew that these two numbers together only explained about 50% of the variance observed in freshman grades.</p>
<p>Guess what! Only 30% was explained by second year and no significant prediction by third year!</p>
<p>A simple study of WPI graduate sucess done about 40 years ago plotted rank in class upon college graduation (an old style, classroom only environment) against US patents, patents applied for and professional awards (a proxy for professional sucess in a science/engineering world). Using 30 years of data, there was no significant correlation between these two variables across the entire rank-in-class distribution.</p>
<p>Do you know why real world projects are now required by undergraduate enginering students in the US?</p>
<p>The key here is to understand that roughly half of the variance observed in freshman grades were not explained by these neatly quantifyable numbers we all like to toss around (it does sell magazines). What are the contributing factors that we were not measuring in these two numbers?</p>
<p>How about enthusiasm, drive, immagination… How about being in the right environment for you at the right time! Learning requires a lot of swet AND the right spark of electric insight from another student or teacher AND/OR just that quiet time where where ideas smolder into a spark.</p>
<p>SATs don’t measure these qualities. Working FOR grades alone do not capture all these qualities.</p>
<p>All too often, people like to quantify as it seems to reduce the complxities of the human mind to a neat, quick summation. Life becomes so easy! It is all precisely measured. Even the admissions people like it as their impossible job was just made easier.</p>
<p>We know from modern physics that prediction is not an easy task… that is why we keep asking questions after true geniuses (not the SAT variety) have spent lifetimes trying.</p>
<p>Which college is better FOR YOU?</p>
<p>It is the one that can “light your fire!” Jump into the pool of the unpredictable, you may be smarter than you think…BUT swim hard!</p>