Will I get Into UC Merced at the least?

Depending upon your UC GPA, test scores, essays and EC’s, it may be possible to get into UC Merced if you meet the a-g course requirements. If you do not retake AP Biology and AP Env Sci, your F and D will be used in the UC GPA calculation. Here is UC Merced’s Freshman profile:

GPA and test scores of middle 25%-75% students

High School GPA: 3.37 - 3.88
ACT Composite Score: 19 - 27
SAT Critical Reading: 450 - 580
SAT Mathematics: 470 - 620

Going to a CC if you plan to apply to Medical School will not be as detrimental to your chances as much as you think. There are many examples of applicants that took that route.

http://www.usnews.com/education/blogs/medical-school-admissions-doctor/2012/02/13/how-medical-schools-view-community-college-credits