<h2>WILL THE BROWN TRANSFER RATE INCREASE TO PRE-2010 LEVELS?</h2>
<p>Year FA Yield No. FA %increase in FA*</p>
<p>2010: 58.94% 2555 -1.25% <DECREASE!
2009: 56.78% 2587 +2.09% <INCREASE!
2008: 57.70% 2534 +3.77% <INCREASE!
2007: 58.27% 2442 N/A</p>
<p>*FA= Freshman Admitted</p>
<p>Source:
Raw Data from brown.edu/Administration/Admission/applyingtobrown/admissioncriteria.html</p>
<p>Maybe the Brown Transfer Admit rate will become a bit higher
due to the decresed number admitted in 2010. (%increase in FA)
However, the effect of this will probably be counterbalanced
by the increased yield of those admitted in 2010 (58.94%)</p>
<p>Assuming AOs expected a yield of 57% (just a bit higher than the previous year),
the expected size of the freshman class would be 1,456 students.
With an actual 2010 freshman class size of 1506, available transfer seats
have diminished by 50. (Assuming 100% retention- 1506-1456).</p>
<p>Another way of looking at it, the idea number of seats for freshman at Brown,
is roughly the average number of people enrolled in the past 4 years.
(Assuming AOs very accurately calculated the future figures of the past).
This would be 1460 students (see source for raw data).
Then, 1506-1460 = 46 more students enrolled in the class of 2010 than ideal.
Leading us to again, about 50 less available seats for transfer admissions.</p>
<hr>
<p>I'm no statistican, but it seems to me that the transfer rate will probably
not jump back up. It's going to be "even more" impossible. :(
What do you guys think?</p>