Worth Applying?

<p>I was recently deferred at Cornell. Duke was my 2nd choice, so do I have a realistic shot (30% or so chance)?</p>

<p>Applying to Trinity College of Arts and Sciences</p>

<p>Gender/Ethnicity: Male, Asian</p>

<p>Location: New York</p>

<p>Graduating Class Size: ~650</p>

<p>GPA:
Unweighted: ~3.85 (2 B+s and a B, all in math, not your typical Asian :))
Weighted: ~4.9 (Weird system; the max is 5.3 if a student took all honors and APs, but since I transferred to a new school district during 9th grade, I was forced to take 6 lower level classes, which screwed my weighted GPA)</p>

<p>Rank: School doesn't rank (But probably around 7-8%, which may screw me over)</p>

<p>Courseload:
10th Grade: AP World History (5)
11th Grade: AP English Language (5), AP Calculus AB (4), AP American History (5)
12th Grade (In Progress): AP Biology, AP Comparative Government, AP Spanish, AP English Literature, AP Statistics
The rest are mostly honors courses.</p>

<p>Standardized Test Scores:
ACT: 35
SAT I: 2190 (690CR, 780M, 720W)
SAT IIs: Biology (710), Math I(740), US History (760)
(Probably won't be sending any SATs)</p>

<p>Extracurricular Activities/Awards: (I think these may also screw me over, I never did ECs just for college but I slightly regret my decision now)
-Internship at Brookhaven National Laboratory in X-ray DEI (Diffraction Enhanced Imaging)
-Science Bowl Team (I finally made it senior year, we've won the regionals 4 years in a row but the competition is in Feb so this probably won't help at all)
-150+ hours of volunteering at hospital
-Varsity Tennis 4th singles (Definitely not good enough to play for college)
-AP Scholar (Probably shouldn't even bother to list this)
-National Fraternity of Student Musicians (Piano Guild)
-Marching Band (10th grade only)
-Youth group leader at church
-Spanish Honor Society
-Global Language Honor Society
-Future Business Leaders of America</p>

<p>Subjective evaluation of:
Essays: Commonapp one is pretty good, or so I thought (My English teachers thought so too), haven't started yet on the supplement questions.
Recs: Both should be great, one might be slightly better than the other one.
Counselor Rec: Good/Mediocre (I only met with him maybe 4-5 times throughout my high school career, and half of those times I was there to complain about the school administration messing up my schedule, not weighing honors courses from my previous school district, etc).</p>

<p>I appreciate any constructive input. I understand that these chance threads are useless since no one here can predict admissions chances, but it's still interesting to hear what others have to say about my prospects.</p>

<p>I think you have a great shot. Make sure your Duke supplements are really strong. As for percentages, I think your odds are much higher than 30%, but I can't give you an exact number considering I was asking for one just a month ago for Duke ED (doesn't exactly qualify me as an expert in the admissions game)</p>

<p>Well my only advice is to make sure your senior grades are really good</p>