Yale 2022 Applicants Discussion

Did you guys get error or 403 Forbidden?

I got 403 Forbidden
This portal is only for admitted students.

@vantasonic can access it, this means other admitted students can access it too.

But he got a likely letter. Did your likely letter mention the Admitted Students page @vantasonic ?

Stuff like this saddens me.

I think it’s important to note that likely letters aren’t even confirmed acceptances and likely letter students can still access this. All decisions at this point are made and some of us can access the portal while others can’t. I really hate to say it, but I think this may be an indication of results.

Sometimes schools just slip up and leave hints without realizing it. For Harvard and a few other schools, we were able to check by looking at out applicant portal source code. MIT even released their decisions a few minutes early and you wouldn’t have known unless you checked the results page.

In the end, don’t be disheartened by this until you officially get your letter, but it is wise to be mentally prepared for any result.

I tried the link a month or so ago and it gave me an error, as well as to a couple of my other friends. At this point it’s too early to say anything, and people with likelies should be able to access it since they were informed they’d be able to access admitted student material (according to someone i know that received a yale likely).

“This portal is only for admitted students,” That statement alone is such a rejection

For SCEA, I tired the admitted students portal a day before and got the same “403 Forbidden” message, but was ultimately admitted the following day. Don’t read too much into any of these speculative theories. The results will be out soon enough. Best of luck to everyone! :smiley:

@MaybeHarvard2022 I got 403 Forbidden and a message saying:

BTW do you have a similar site for Harvard? Or Stanford?

This wait is taking over my life!

@LondonVall Thanks!!

Speaking of reading the tea leaves, I was bored, and my mom wanted me to throw away all the college brochures that are crammed under my bed, so as I was throwing them away I counted all mail received per school (as well as received emails) and ran a regression analysis on the number of times I was contacted versus my results so far for nine schools (used a scoring system for acceptance results: 3=accepted, 2=waitlisted, and 1=rejected).

I got a 62.8% correlation and a pvalue of <.05 using Pearsons. So I have a statistically significant result with a strong positive correlation. What it told me was that when I was contacted less than 42 times, I was always rejected. When I was contacted more than 54 times, I was always accepted. Between 42 and 54 contacts I was either accepted or waitlisted.

If that information is correct, out of my remaining 9 applications, I will be accepted to 1 more school (Columbia), rejected at 6 (Harvard, Yale, Princeton (Deferred EA), Stanford, Penn, and Vanderbilt), and either accepted or waitlisted at 2 others (Carnegie Mellon and Dartmouth).

I would never have predicted Columbia. But it is reinforced by the fact that in the previous two years on CC Hispanic applicants (my hook) with my Stats have been accepted there 100% (5/5) of the time. The best percentage of any of my 18 schools.

Some of the rest of the Hispanic CC results for people with my STATS are as follows: Stanford (68.75%-11/16), Princeton (62.5%-5/8), Harvard (33.3%-1/3), Yale (25%-1/4), Dartmouth (100%-2/2), Cornell (73.7%-14/19), Penn (50%-6/12), Northwestern (62.5%-5/8) and UChicago (41.2%-7/17).

Another semi-positive sign is that I was waitlisted to Columbia’s Engineering fly-in program, CE2. So maybe it is not as strange as I initially thought.

Unfortunately, I was not contacted by Columbia about a known problem in my financial aid application which has been a very accurate predictor of my results so far (i.e., I’m contacted about this problem if I’m accepted a week before I get results, but I’m not when I’m waitlisted or rejected. Case Western is the only outlier in that I was not contacted by them but was accepted and received my financial aid decision that same day (I was one of ten finalists for a competitive Engineering Scholarship and also received a $33K/year merit scholarship and an $18K/year grant).

BTW for those interested, I was contacted by 112 schools overall and applied to 18 (all but 2 I was offered fee waivers). I received 490 pieces of physical mail and 3610 emails. I built a mini crawler app to search my mail database for admissions emails and then had it categorize them by school (so I’m not sure how accurate the email count is; probably +/-10%).

@FrayFray Are you referring to the Yale link in which you can update your status? Ours still work and looks the same as usual. I doubt it is a sign.

@ambkeegan This is the one for Yale: admits.yale.edu

And yeah, during Harvard REA, we tested this theory about the source code on the applicant thread.

@Maschinenmädchen and I just have to say that I’m incredibly impressed with your research on the correlation of mail vs results. Write a report or be a contributor on an admissions book!

It’s also important to note that looking in the source code isn’t “hacking” or anything illegal for those of you wondering. It’s a completely open source code linked to the web browser you are using. It’s like two clicks to get there and is completely safe and free for you to access

@Maschinenmädchen have you considered the fact that less selective schools send out more mail? This would debunk your analysis. Also, most mail is sent out before your application is even reviewed. There are many lurking variables in this study.

@hsc927 I’m not sure. Some people during REA were reporting not being able to find it and those people ultimately got rejected. All of us who got in were able to see it. I don’t want anyone to get too excited and ultimately be disappointed on decision day, but this is the pattern we found

Lol we are probably giving the admission officers hell! When you have the brightest students in the world applying, we will always find some loophole. Lol at least we keep them on their feet

If I were an admissions officer, I would flood these threads with fake conspiracy theories and watch everyone freak out and scrabble…

@jeffrandell The analysis is only on the 18 engineering and physics schools that I applied to:

9 of which I have results. I don’t really think that any of them would be considered, except on CC, not selective.

Anyway, that does not appear to be the case since I received nearly the same amount of contacts from Columbia, UChicago, and Smith, and, at least on CC, they have completely different selectivity ratings.

That said, anything is possible since the regression analysis is “only” 62% at 95% confidence.

@LondonVall I am simply curious and have time on my hand, lol. It also keeps my mind occupied as I anxiously wait.