Thanks. Certainly hope you are right.
Hereâs a VERY unscientific Reddit poll based on the last two years. Not sure it is worth much but it does support what BKsquared says.
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Thank you. Was this for an early action set?
Guess who did some interesting mathâŠ
I applied Bayesâ theorem to calculate the probability of getting an interview (based on each sample):
- Event A: Acceptance
- Event B: Interview
- P(B) = P(B given A) * P (A) / P (A given B) = P (Interviewed given Acceptance) * P (Acceptance) / P (Acceptance given Interview)
For the first sample, P(B) or the probability a student received an interview was 56.8%.
For the second sample, P(B) was 66.9%.
This simply supports the fact that getting an interview is a relatively common occurrence and does not by itself indicate acceptance, given that the probability of the acceptance (i.e., acceptance rate) is lower than BOTH probabilities calculated.
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Yes this was from REA, hence the responses include deferred applicants as well.
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Absolutely! I think we all know that interview does not guarantee acceptance :). However, seems there were more acceptances in the interviewed group than in the non-interviewed. Itâs not an exact science and as I said the poll may be entirely meaningless. I did think the high number of acceptances based on the total N of respondants was impressive! Of course it could be that accepted students were more likely to particpate.
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Yep, it could be completely meaningless, but interesting. Good luck to everyone!
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Valid. I think the problem is that we donât have any real probability distribution of results which prevents any real statistical analysis. Thatâs why you shouldnât read too much into a Reddit poll, LOL.
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Agreed and I did say the same at the very beginning. 
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No, I mean the AOs.
Admissions will not disclose this.
Thank you so much for the insight, BKSquared! I had read elsewhere that in previous years (maybe prior to COVID) 18,000 were interviewed. Has this changed due to the newish interview policy or was that data off?
I donât recall, but it could have been more interviews in the past prior to the policy of limiting interviews to those whose application needed follow up. The 11,500 does seem low.
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My son has his tomorrow and is quite nervous. Heâs a real introvert and âtell me about yourselfâ is his idea of a bad nightmare! Nice to hear that your studentâs interviewer was so nice.
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Just using common sense, there are going to be very few âauto admitsâ out of the applicant pool (and even among those, the AO might want to set up an interview to âsellâ the school early). There are also a number of auto rejects, which will be a greater number than auto admits. The vast majority are qualified applicants who in the past were going to be admitted or deferred. If last yearâs 57% reject rate was a change in policy, then they are making some hard decisions earlier, which I think is a good thing. Finality allows an applicant to move on and reassess the strength of their app relative to their target schools.
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Good luck! I interviewed with Swarthmore, and I was initially scared but the interviewer really guided me through. We ended up having a great conversation and reached some wild places (e.g., anime, math theorems, and FaceTime).
From a kid to another kid, donât sweat it.
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Still havenât gotten my interview, crying. And I thought I lived in a pretty well-resourced placeâŠ
Lotâs of alums doesnât necessarily mean a lot of interviewers. It does probably mean a lot of applicants. Whatever the Yale result, I am sure you will find your place. Good luck.
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I wonât be surprised that there are a lot of applicants in my region, so totally understand if I donât get one for Yale.
Good to know, thank you
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