<p>Thanks, rodney and poppy. I am definitely willing to chalk this all up to chance and factors none of us know (particularly that Lawrence is probably moving out of the B+ range these days). It’s easy to do because as you both say, these girls have plenty of other wonderful options that they’re happy with.</p>
<p>Please no one think that we’re broken-hearted over here - it’s just a lot of food for thought, and I always appreciated hearing what other people were thinking when they went through this, so I’ll remark on a few things: </p>
<p>I’m seeing a lot of people commenting that schools are pushing their decisions back, especially to see 1st semester grades, etc. It’s not over - just a deferral.</p>
<p>D has gotten a great acceptance at Minn, and also was accepted academically at SUNY New Paltz (she has her acting audition for their Theatre BA next month). I’m still confident with her very careful list that she will have 4-5 more acceptances before this process is done.</p>
<p>I’ve wondered over the past few years reading CC if “match” is the hardest distinction to make - “reach” is usually obvious (maybe it’s practically every school??), and safety can in many situations actually be guaranteed (if D had gone with more of our instate options, she would have had lots of safeties).</p>
<p>This has been a huge theme on the 3.X thread: what is a match? For the 4.0 kid, most nice LACs are a solid bet. But when a school says that its typical accepted student has a 3.2 or a 3.6, those of us with kids whose GPAs are in that range start to wonder. Is that really true? Is it really 4.0s with some 3.0 legacies/athletes/etc.? Are they relying on some kind of weighting system we don’t understand?</p>
<p>Finding a match for a 3.X is hard because a lot of really great schools SOUND like matches but really probably aren’t such a sure bet. I really can’t say anything helpful about this because my D1 was a 4.0/31 ACT, and my D2, while a 3.6 overall/3.3 academic/31 ACT did not craft a typical list. Statistically, she was in at Minn, but I didn’t relax until she got the letter. Lawrence we certainly didn’t assume, but of the rest of her non-auditioned BA programs, it was supposed to be the “match.” The rest of those schools are a couple of higher matches (50%ile GPA/25th%ile ACT) a lower reach and a real reach. She does have an LAC where she is in the top 25%ile for everything, so their answer will tell us a lot.</p>
<p>I know she wrote a nice essay; I’m sure her recommendations were very nice. She has a few awards, no truly special distinctions, but this group isn’t all about that. She’s got plenty of ECs, some community service, a nice enough package. </p>
<p>Her auditioned schools will weigh the audition more than anything in the long run (even if she gets in academically), so her grades aren’t really the issue there. There are no safeties in auditioned programs, but in that group she also split about 50-50 with some that are extremely selective and others with a higher acceptance rate. </p>
<p>As rodney says, anything can happen, and we won’t let this deferral somehow become a rubric for where she stands overall. This is why the most crucial thing to do is develop a good list. Her list is still good, and she’ll have good results.</p>
<p>poppy, you couldn’t have said it better: I am so very proud of my D in all she is doing, how she has grown, and the person she has become, and what colleges decide can’t change that one tiny bit. What’s more, I think she feels the same way.</p>