Am I on track?

Hi all,

      I'm a grade eleven Canadian and am currently in full IB but will be getting out of it. The reason is because our IB selection is very limited (small school) and currently with there being a major push towards engineering, our IB revolves all around the sciences. I am going into business, and I have a 6 in math HL, Geo HL and History HL. I have a five in Bio HL, English SL, and a four in French SL. While these are great marks, this isn't good enough for what I want. Realistically if I were to stay in IB, I would have a 35/45 max, which is concerning for what I Want. I am looking at a Bcom, and my universities are:

Reach:
McGill

Normal:
U of T
UBC
Queens
Ivey

Safety:
SMU

My courses next year are:

IB Math HL 12 full year
Realistic end score: 5

Canadian History 11 (Required) half year:
Realistic score: 97

Physical Ed 12 (Required) half year:
Realistic score: unknown, doesn’t matter anyway, not counted in average

Accounting 11 (Req. For accounting 12) half year:
Realistic score: 99 No joke, monotonous but facile

Accounting 12 half yeaf:
Realistic score: 98

Global Economics 12 half year:
Realistic score: 96

Law 12 half year:
Realistic score: 95

I based these expected scores off what I know I can do and how hard the courses are.

EC’s in no particular order:

Snowboard team: three years, captain one year
Gym: two years
Ultimate frisbee: two years
Reach for the top national team (huge Canadian quiz show): two years
Interact club (charity club): two years
Student council: two years
Cross country: one year

Hook (unique thing that I do):

When I was 14, I wanted to make money. I live in a place with a farm that has a huge strawberry U-Pick (locals come out and pick their own strawberries) and corn maze. This place had zero places to get refreshments, and locals always complained about being parched. Being the entrepreneur that I am, I asked if I could help him out and sell lemonade there to. Make money for university. He was so happy, he didn’t even charge me anything, he was just happy to not have that source of complaints any more. I built this huge booth myself, and got the means to produce mass amounts of lemonade. I eventually opened and went on to sell over 7500 cups of lemonade over the next four years. I created this idea and business, and literally built it all by myself. After this year, I will set up and hand it off to my little sister, as 17 is too old to sell lemonade. I’ve been approached by two different university professors to speak at their local universities and have done just that. I am very proud of what I did, and intend to use this as my big thing in every university application essay and scholarship essay that applies.

My goal is to get into McGill, which requires a 93.6% average to get into. Realistically, I will be very happy with every normal university also listed.

So, what are my chances?

Woops, realized I forgot English Advanced 12, and instead put what was my second choice if i didn’t get into Global economics on the list for some reason, which was law. I think I would get a 92% in English Advanced 12