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You made an analysis error here. All you’ve shown is that by the time you have 4 Michigan students in a room, the probabililty that all 4 hail from the same state is only 7.4%. That by no means excludes the almost definite occurrence that 2 or even 3 of those 4 kids are Michigan residents and the 4th is most likely from Long Island or a Chicago suburb.</p>
<p>So no, even once you have a couple of dozen students at Michigan, the chances that the group will be truly diverse is still pretty low. Based on the statistical makeup of the student body, a little over a dozen will be from Michigan and a couple will be from New York, a couple will be from Illinois, a couple will be from California, and maybe one will be from an underrepresented state like Georgia.</p>
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It absolutely is; you are analyzing data in the most bizarre way. The states that Duke culls the most students from are the most densely populated areas in the country and have the highest concentrations of intelligent students in the country so obviously a state like New Jersey or California are going to be much more represented than a state like Utah or North Dakota. No elite university or top schools will draw from these remote states like North Dakora or Arkansas as they simply have more provincial students who just aren’t looking to travel and they have fewer accomplished individuals compared to more educated states.</p>
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The fact that a whopping 40% of the population of a private school in North Carolina doesn’t come from the most populated corridor of the country that it happens to be located in seems to be prima facie evidence of incredible geographic diversity.</p>
<p>I think you expect a university with utopian geographic diversity to have an exact 20% split in all 5 regions of the country when some areas of the country are much more densely populated than others and have greater absolute numbers of academic superstars, all factors that make such an occurrence an impossibility without severely reducing the academic standards of a school.</p>
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The Midwest is the least represented region of the country at Duke without a doubt but it still manages to enroll 2% of its student population from Illinois, 3% from Ohio, 1% from Michigan, 1% from Minnesota, etc.</p>
<p>U of M, on the other hand, draws far worse from the South where it has the least geographical representation. Only 1% of the class comes from Florida, 0.03% originates from Georgia, another 0.027% from North Carolina, and far less than that anywhere else in the region.</p>
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Here we go again…if you look at the populations of those Western states and divide the number of students that Duke enrolls from them by their overall population, you will find that they are actually better represented than some of the schools on the East Coast in terms of percentage.</p>
<p>Duke still gets 1% or more from Colorado, Arizona, or Washington. It actually has more students on an absolute basis in some of the Western states than Michigan which just blows my mind.</p>
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I really don’t even know how to respond to this; its like someone’s arguing that Arizona State is better than Harvard since it enrolls more students. After all, absolute numbers are what matter right?</p>
<p>Xiggi, please help me!!:)</p>