At what point (#) in the rankings can one rely on objective stats for admission?

<p>Cappex has this disclaimer for students “likely or very likely to be admitted:”</p>

<p>You may still not get in!
Even though your chances look good you may still get rejected from this college. Please keep the following in mind:</p>

<ul>
<li>The program for which you’re applying may require a tryout, audition or portfolio review during the admissions decision. If your tryout, audition or portfolio doesn’t impress them you might get rejected.</li>
<li>Your intended area of study may be extremely competitive for this college. Even top students get rejected from colleges when lots of students are applying to a specific major.</li>
<li>Some highly selective colleges take a very holistic approach to admissions and you may not be the type of student they want to attract even if your grades and test scores are top notch.</li>
<li>Your application is incomplete or doesn’t effectively communicate your qualifications. Everything from poorly written essays to sketchy recommendations can hurt your chances.</li>
<li>Some schools impose additional minimum entrance requirements, which are not considered by the calculator. For example: In addition to composite test scores, some schools impose mandatory minimums on sub scores as well. Although the calculator does consider sub scores in its analysis, it does not consider any mandatory minimums that might exist. Check the college’s website for more details.</li>
<li>Economic factors during the 2008/2009 admissions season may have an impact. Many state-funded and other more-affordable schools are reporting a sharp increase in the number of applicants, which may result in rejections for some students who would have been easily admitted in past years. The calculator does not consider these economic factors.
** Bottom line, no calculator can tell you definitively whether you’ll get in - you’ll only know if you actually apply. Always talk to others such as high school counselors, parents and admissions representatives before deciding whether to apply to a certain college.</li>
</ul>