I think the “chance me” thread is fun… but let’s face it, how can any of us predict this? Have any of you found the most accurate web admissions predictor? Niche? CollegeVine? The new one College Confidential “College Lab” seems very generous. Just curious if any of you have found a good one- with somewhat reliable predictions.
idk i’ve done a lot and i would say college vine seems the most accurate, but that’s purely speculation
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My problem with all of them is that I think they predict based on your stats but do not take into consideration if you are OOS, which can make a huge difference. So I find them to be unreliable. For example, it tells me I have a great shot at some UC’s but I know that some of those UC’s barely take any OOS students. Anyone know of a predictor that DOES consider out of state status?
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I second college vine.
NO website, person or other tool can accurately make this prediction. It is literally impossible.
But as a one stop website with robust accurate data it is good.
The predictions aren’t bad if taken for what they are.
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I like College Data. After all, it’s all about data. Used it with both my kids. It wasn’t so much about yes or no, but more about where a student falls within a range.
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Thx. I just hate when it gives me a false sense of security. Lol It says I have a 38% chance at Michigan but I’m OOS and going for engineering, so I’m doubting it. I guess the only way to know is to wait…maybe I’ll come back and update and let everyone know how accurate the predictions were after I get my acceptances/rejections.
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Yes, the numbers get further off track for OOS state flagships, for competitive programs/depts/majors, and other applicant specific criteria.
Add that uncertainty to not knowing how many or who else applied for the current cohort.
Looking at common data sets can help or further frustrate.
There are very few sure things in the top 25 or so besides making sure you have schools on your list that you will be happy to attend that have higher acceptance rates and great opportunities for you. There are kids with similar stats denied at Vandy and get into Harvard; Waitlisted at Duke and get into MIT; deferred ED and then denied by all.
Look for strengths in your safeties - spend more time doing that then plugging in numbers in the admissions prediction calculators.
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Some less selective schools’ own web sites post automatic-admission criteria and/or good data on past admissions, with distinction by major or division where that matters.
For example, Arizona State University posts its admission requirements a https://admission.asu.edu/first-year/apply and includes a link to https://webapp4.asu.edu/programs/t5;jsessionid=4FC82B0AE6B784BBB92C1407A2AA5058 where you can look up your desired major to see if any higher admission requirements apply to that major. From there, you can determine your chances to gain admission to the university and your desired major.
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When you attend school outside of an American system, you can’t fill in these tools correctly, so I can’t even use them. We are just going with USA reaches and European safeties and reaches.
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My daughter is in the same position and also using the same strategy. So far, one safety conditional offer from a UK school.
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We realize there is no perfect predictor… it’s crazy how different some of them are! Now that my daughter is waiting on some (already accepted to some with rolling admissions…, ) she is just having fun playing around with these. Trust me, neither of us are taking it seriously. In the end, we will see which one was correct. She’s keeping a tally of 4 predictors and we’ll see which ones seemed most accurate. And yes, OOS or country is even harder/impossible. Thanks all. Good luck everyone.
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The only two that are accurate are IPEDS and Common Dataset. Lol!
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