Birth Rates and College Admissions

Applying to College
21

<p>No, you're looking at collegeboard data. It decreased about 9 percent since last year, from 36 to 27 percent.</p>

22

<p>Wow, that certainly is ****. And to think in 1998 UChicago had a 61% acceptance rate.</p>

23

<p>Yea, its just not possible to accept *most of the qualified applicants anymore, even at uchicago.</p>

24

<p>Love your safeties :)</p>

<p>Go University of Maryland Baltimore County!</p>

25

<p>As pointed out, more are applying more places. This may compensate for any decline at the top colleges (braodly defined). People are figuring out how to approach it better and more understand the need for college. Several articles have pointed out that inspite of the "recession" college hiring for this years grad should be good. That will inspire more.</p>

26

<p>Though in past years, the NCES projections showed 2009 as the peak year for # of HS graduates, this table <a href="http://nces.ed.gov/programs/projections/projections2016/xls/table_03.xls%5B/url%5D"&gt;http://nces.ed.gov/programs/projections/projections2016/xls/table_03.xls&lt;/a> seems to suggest that 2008 may be the peak year. Tokenadult, you are good at parsing the NCES data. What are your thoughts? Many of those older projection graphs from the NCES website seem to be gone.</p>

27

<p>Here's an interesting table Projections</a> of Education Statistics to 2016 - Section 3. High School Graduates: State and Regional (Public School Data)
The # of students graduating from Maine, Vermont N and S Dakota are projected to DECREASE by almost 19-29% in the next 8 years. (Nevada is projected to increase by 68%! Yikes!) Maybe it's time to consider a relocation??? Every "hook" helps, including those geographic distributions.</p>

28

<p>I don't know if you can predict admission toughness solely on birth rate in the US. I think immigration is a huge factor as well.</p>

29

<p>^^^ There are many variables that affect the competitiveness of each year's admissions process. This includes the # of internationals, the government encouragement (eg Laura Bush's initiative) to provide incentives for colleges to accept more internationals, the number of schools each student applies to, the increased number of graduates applying to college, etc. I don't think anyone is basing it "solely" on birthrate. This is just one variable.</p>