Chance of getting in UCSD, UCSB, UCSC, UC Merced?

UC/CSU GPA: 3.79

of AP Classes: 8 (in the process of taking 3 for my senior year) I have passed 4 ap exams so far and will be taking 3 this year

AP Course taken:
AP World History (passed)
AP Physics 1 (didn’t take exam)
AP US History (passed)
AP English Language and Composition (passed)
AP Seminar (passed)
AP Macroeconomics (in progress)
AP US Gov (in progress)
AP Research (in progress)
EC: I have a job, Ellen Club (service club), Speech and Debate club
SAT: 1110
I’m really not going to get into any university as an anthropology major, especially with this credentials. I had a really rough freshman and sophomore year that really tanked my entire GPA, but I managed to get a 4.2 weighted gpa during junior year. However, sadly it did not help my sad academic GPA lol.

Based on the following admit rates by GPA (not major specific) and SAT scores, this is how I would rate your chances. If your SAT was higher, in the 1300 range, your UC choices would be slightly higher so it is just not your GPA that is holding you back.

You have good HS course rigor and write some compelling essays.

Freshman admit rates for UC GPA of 3.40-3.79:

UCB: 2%-High Reach
UCLA: 3%- High Reach
UCSD: 6%- High Reach
UCD: 15%-Reach
UCSB: 14%- Reach
UCI: 13%- Reach
UCSC: 59%-High Match
UCR: 78%- Match
UCM: 92%- Safety

25th - 75th percentiles for SAT:

UCB: 1280-1490

UCLA: 1280-1500
UCSD: 1250-1470
UCSB: 1290-1450
UCD: 1190-1430
UCI: 1190-1420
UCSC: 1170-1380
UCR: 1090-1310
UCM: 1020-1230

You need some solid Match schools such as UC Riverside, CSU Long Beach, CSU Fullerton, Cal Poly Pomona. San Diego State as a High Match and any of the other CSU’s could be another good safety choice.