Chances of getting into Carnegie Mellon

I am currently a high school junior, white male, and from the south. My high school is public and ranked as one of the best in the state, graduating something like 20 valedictorians every year (all of whom will have had straight As and at least 10 APs). I am heavily humanities inclined, and expect to do very well in terms of essays. I don’t know if intended major factors into acceptance, but I would likely apply for philosophy, sociology, or political science. I have never taken a non-honors or standard class while in high school. Weighted GPA is 4.2 as of sophomore year, that will likely go up barring total implosion this year.

AP Classes:
Sophomore year:
AP stat (3)
AP World (5)

Junior year:
AP Art History: (likely 4)
AP Human Geography: (likely 4 or 5)
AP Government: (likely 5)
AP US History: (almost certainly 5)
AP English Language: (likely 4 or 5)
AP European History: (almost certainly 5)
(taking all APs this year and will have straight As for 1st semester)
ACT: 33

Extra Curriculars:
History bowl and Quiz Bowl president, (state champs in history bowl, top in nation for quizbowl)
Short stories in school literary magazine
Won a competition with a short play, currently being put on at a festival
European Economic Challenge Team
Internship with state democratic party doing data management
Internship at state house
Model UN member
Varsity and club soccer
Plan to join NHS/ do some more volunteering

I dont think admissions to carnegie mellon humanities are too competitive. You should be fine. Know however that coleges don’t care about your AP scores, only the grades you achieved in those classes. If you are in the top 10% of your class, (you have competitive activities), great SAT scores, and you are into humanities, you might want to even consider better liberal arts schools like an ivy.