Chances of getting into selective schools?

Chances of acceptance into: MIT, Stanford, Duke, Upenn, Harvard, Princeton, Notre Dame, Vanderbilt?

SAT: 2050
AP: 5,5,4,4,4,3,3,
SAT subject tests: not taken yet

ECs? GPA? Race? Background? Your SAT score is very low for these schools (2250+).

Nobody cares about your AP test scores.

What is your GPA and do you have any significant ECs? Your SAT is a bit low. I presume you will retake or try the ACT.

Well I am homeschooled so I assumed my GPA wouldn’t be taken as seriously but it would be around a 3.7 or 3.8 unweighted. And I have very significant ECs that should help out my application. Race is Caucasian.

I think your prospects at all of those schools, with possible exception of Notre Dame, are very slim. ND is probably a reach, with the others beyond reach.

I would aim a little lower. There’s nothing wrong with applying to one or two of those schools, but anything more would be a waste of money. You’re about 100 points below every SAT 25% percentile. There are a lot of good schools where your scores would fit it

Make sure you have good safeties.

Curious - you say you have significant ECs. Sometimes people overestimate themselves, maybe you should list them so we could help put it in perspective?

Your score put you below 25 percentile of these schools. They are all reaches for you considering the low admission rate even for students with better stat. You do need to find matching schools.