Chances of me getting into Stonybrook?

Hey guys, Im from nyc and i want to get into a school with a good nursing program. Stonybrook seems like a perfect fit.
What are my chances of getting in if my:
Gpa:3.9
Sat:1170 (going to improve by at least 50-100 in oct)
Have a solid essay written
4 Ap classes
On 2 sports teams
In 3 clubs
And a member of my school’s student government.

U have a 28.6% chance of getting in