Chances of transfer to Rice?

Freshman at University of Texas at Austin
GPA: likely going to be 3.84, next semester’s will be higher
High School GPA: 3.71 (low because I couldn’t go to school for many months due to illness)
Major: Mechanical Engineering
SAT: 1530 (800 Math, 730 reading/writing)
Subject tests (probably won’t submit): 800 math 2, 700 chem
Race: Asian

Extra curriculars:
In college:
Camp Kesem (counselor)
Texas Engineering World Health (member)
Research next semester

High School:
President of Science Olympiad
President of Math Honor Society
Captain of Debate
Founder of Charity (raised 20k for a hospital)
Eagle Scout
Intern at Hospital (published research paper)

I applied early decision last year, and was deferred and then waitlisted and then rejected.

Last couple of years it has been very tough to transfer into Rice as they have over enrolled two freshman classes in a row. This leaves no housing to accommodate transfers. I do not work for rice but it would seem to me this would make it hard to transfer in no mater what your stats are because even if people drop out of Rice (and there aren’t alot of those) the class still has no room. They did take in some transfers last year just not many. Good luck though, but if you don’t get in it has nothing to do with your qualifications.