<p>Okay, here's the pertinent info from that article. It may not even be what you want--but at least you don't have to shell out money to make that determination.</p>
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A few years ago, a group of economists surveyed 3,200 top high school seniors at 500 schools across the country, asking them which colleges had admitted them and which one they would attend. With this information, the researchers could estimate how often students chose one college over another.</p>
<p>Among those who were admitted to both Harvard and Duke -- sometimes called the Harvard of the South -- and who attended one of the two, about 3 percent picked Duke, according to the economists' statistical model. Only 11 percent chose Brown, perhaps the trendiest Ivy League university in recent years, over Harvard. Princeton and Stanford win only about 25 percent of their battles with Harvard. Yale gives the stiffest competition, winning about 35 percent of the time, which in politics would be considered a crushing landslide.</p>
<p>For any college contemplating the end of early admissions, the implications are plain enough. ''There are a lot of people who apply to Yale early or to Princeton early,'' said Andrew Metrick, one of the economists who did the study and a professor at the University of Pennsylvania, ''who might choose to go to Harvard if they got in.''</p>
<p>Dozens of other colleges would be even more vulnerable to losing their best applicants. Today, students often choose to apply early to a college where they think they have a good chance of being admitted, rather than to one that seems like a long shot. Understanding this, admissions officers are happy to admit so many students early. As Ellen Fisher, college adviser at the Bronx High School of Science, said, the officers often ask themselves, ''Is this someone we might lose if we don't take early?''</p>
<p>There are caveats to Harvard's dominance. Every year, about 20 percent of the students it accepts turn it down, evidently deciding that prestige is not everything. If early admissions were to go away, some high school seniors would still find themselves able to resist the lure of a Harvard acceptance letter.</p>
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