OK - you haven’t shared your 9-11 GPA but have acknowledged med school won’t be affordable. So I’ll assume you had a 3.97 including 9-11.
So if it were me, I’d lose Northwestern - because they don’t provide merit opportunities and you’re a full pay family.
Duke does - but limited. Vandy has them, as does WUSTL (on your list) and Emory. U Miami, Rochester, Case Western, Tulane, BU, NEU and more do as well amongst solid, top privates. But it’s likely school would still cost you a boat load. But they all offer merit - so reaches but worth a hail mary.
I would say CWRU is a reach - unless you demonstrate large amounts of interest. They are a DI school - so if you haven’t visited, get on their on line sessions or better yet ED (which brings financial risk). Madison is likely a target but it’s not cheap - and why Madison when there’s a boat load of less expensive flagships?
SDSU is the one that scares me as it was noted - there was a recent student in at UCB and not at SDSU. Stats wise it seems a safety - but it’s all over.
If you have a 3.97 from 9th grade, I’d start by - looking at cost - University of Arizona. You’d get $30K off a $40K tuition so all in about $25-27K. I don’t see it as any different than your UCs or Wisconsin. It’s a big flagship that will reward you and it has an Honors College dorm that is nicer than my house - really really nice - with an adjacent gym and counseling center.
Another would be U of Alabama. More than 1,000 Californians are enrolled there and why not. You’d get $28K off $33K tuition - so all in low 20s. The Honors Dorm gets you your own room with a bathroom shared with one kid. And for pre-med, you have the McCollough Medical Scholars - linked below.
Other schools - from a price POV where you can do well - to save for medical school - look at the WUE schools (linked below). It doesn’t look like too many come up (I chose Biology and BIological Sciences - and there’s Colorado State but you might see better majors).
Schools like Miami of Ohio, Mississippi State (low 20s or even lower), Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida State, Florida, Iowa State, SUNY schools and more are some of the bigger flagships that would be much lower in cost than Wisconsin or your privates. All of these will be under $50K and most if not all under $40K and some even under $30K - saving you money for grad school.
For other privates, U of Denver would give you a nice chunk of change as would other mid size school. And if you were interested in a Liberal Arts school, there are many that would throw money your way but since you don’t have any on your list, I won’t go there. SMU - not cheap - but has the Presidential Scholarship (full ride) and while it’s an LAC, if you have room left on Common App, it never hurts to throw in an app at Washington & Lee for the Johnson Scholarship. Hendrix is likely to offer you a flagship match (UC tuition) - it’s an LAC in Arkansas. Get on the email lists and you’ll get app waivers - and make sure you start demonstrating interest now - if interested.
Good luck
McCollough Scholars – Pre-Medical Studies at the University of Alabama (ua.edu)
WUE Savings Finder - WICHE
President’s Scholars Program - SMU (Southern Methodist University)
The Johnson Scholarship | Washington and Lee (wlu.edu)