Before I address other points commenting on my posts, help me understand - is this all because it is a state university and the OP’s son is out of state?
Yes, I did step on my own message, it has nothing to do with logic or fairness. It is reality (like the reality that when my dad was growing up, he had to steal food from the dumpsters behind grocery stores, and if he made a nickel, he would bring it home so his family could buy bread. They were on Relief for many years and would have died without it; he had a sister who died as a toddler due to their poverty).
We got lucky in that we bought a house with 5% down in an area where the value of our house doubled in 10 years. If you can’t buy a house, you don’t have that “luck”. We also both were engineers and make decent money and we waited almost ten years to have children.
So if you think my message was “go where you can afford” but then I am not doing that, you are sort of correct.
I have a mortgage that is a few hundred dollars per month now, and it will go up to at least $2,000 per month by the time my son leaves school. BUT: we could have put that money in a college fund for him and we would be here today with a $2,000 per month mortgage because that’s where the money went - to paying off our house. Our EFC will decrease as our home equity decreases.
I brought up my financial details to show how completely ridiculous ASU is being. There is meeting full need and then there is meeting all but 100K of need for someone with an EFC of less than one thousand dollars per year? Do they truly not want OOS low income students that much (I assume the OP is not Native American by the way, there is a lot of aid available from ASU for OOS Native American students).
And yes - my point is that in my case, we cannot pay the 120K = 4 * 40K EFC out of our college savings because we put our children’s college savings into our house. Which has been a good investment. We will have enough left that if our EFC stays the same, we could pay for all of our children’s college, if the colleges are close to full need like my son’s is.
The details of my case only relate in that I feel there has to be some schools that are more reasonable, even if they don’t meet full need. Even on my son’s college forum, one student has an FA package of 45K of merit loans per year, and after student loans, it will be around 10K per year of loans needed at most, right around the EFC for that family. And that is a private college that doesn’t promise full need. Everything points to them considering FA need once a student is good enough to admit, and they are not alone in that.
Even at the Ivy I attended, they state “no loans” and “full grant” but most families have the student taking out 20K of loans on average over the four years, to pay for the EFC. They technically are one of the least affordable Ivies therefore, if you look at full need vs. what a family takes out loans for.