The ND AOs routinely assist students in deciding REA vs RD, so your S should definitely seek out the opinion of his school’s AO next fall. In another post I did similar calculations to @trackmbe3, but took it a step further. When trying to ascertain whether there is an advantage to applying REA (or ED, etc.) at a given school, one has to take into account the proportion of recruited athletes and legacies, among other groups, that are in the REA cohort.
Here is the gist of my post on this thread: http://talk.qa.collegeconfidential.com/parents-forum/2099047-colleges-with-a-service-orientation-p1.html This thread has some other good info as well.
Class of 2022 REA rate of acceptance was 25% (1636/6598), total acceptance rate was 18% (3608/20371). That makes the RD acceptance rate 14%, (1972/13773). 2,070 students enrolled in class of 2022. Class of 2022 stats: https://admissions.nd.edu/apply/admission-statistics/ (not sure why @trackmbe3 has different numbers)
If the total class composition is similar to 2021s (haven’t seen this for 2022 yet), there were 24% legacies and 8% recruited athletes, the majority of which go thru REA, but we don’t know exact proportions. We also don’t know the % of other hooked applicants in REA, e.g., questbridge, trustee recommended students, professors’ kids, URMs.
If we apply 100% of the legacies and recruited athletes to REA, to make up for the other hooked components we don’t have, that equals 663 students. (24% x 2070 enrolled + 8% x 2070). That leaves 973 REA accepted students of the 6598, for a non-hooked acceptance rate of 15%, vs RD acceptance rate of 14%. One can certainly make the case that there are likely even more hooked applicants in the 973, so it seems there is no bump at Notre Dame for REA vs. RD. At least with ND’s REA, one can apply EA to other schools, so one only loses the opportunity to apply ED1 at another school. Just some things to think about, I would certainly defer to the opinion of your S’s AO when the time comes.
2021 class composition link https://news.nd.edu/news/class-of-2021-intellectually-and-globally-diverse-dedicated-to-service-and-leadership/