ED Chances?

White male senior applying for mechanical engineering
1470 SAT (one sitting, 740M 730R)
Taking Math I and II in November, it isn’t too late for ED (I was signed up for October but I got really sick and couldn’t make it)
3.99 UW 4.16 W GPA
45 out of 330
6 APs, 8 Honors
My school is a public school in PA, ranked as one of the top in America

ECs:

FBLA President, 2x state qualifier, 1x state champion & national qualifier. Currently running the biggest FBLA fundraiser in my school history, involves me presenting (alone) at local businesses and receiving total donations in the thousands.
Finance Club President: we manage and invest a $30000 fund
Yearbook academic editor
German Activity Club Vice President
NHS
Robotics chassis/animation engineer (school team was a national champion last year)
Student Council
Club Council (one rep from each club meets with principal monthly, plans club events)
Leadership Course (had to apply for an extracurricular course taught on top of our existing course loads, monthly after school, by the head principal. Relatively high honor within my school)
Academic team/quizbowl Varsity

Total ECs: 10

I know my academic stats are a far reach for Penn, but I think my LORs and essays are good and my finance club investing and FBLA fundraising set me apart from a lot of applicants. For the record, here’s my full list

UPenn ED
Cornell
Carnegie Mellon
Northwestern
Michigan (Ann Arbor)
Pitt
Penn State (Schreyer’s + main campus)