<p>
[quote]
As a rough approximation of your chance of not being accepted anywhere on your list looks like this (using USNWR's figures from 2003 - these will likely be worse next year!):</p>
<p>.9 x .8 x .89 x .6 x .82 x .79 = .25 ~ 25%
[/quote]
</p>
<p>someone's forgetting the basic rule of statistics... these events ARE NOT independent, if one rejects you it's likely there's a reason...!</p>