<p>I strongly disagree that Yale's decisions are more "predictable" than Stanford's. 9 of my very good friends applied to Yale, 4 were admitted, 5 deferred. Many of them were significantly "more qualified" in a chance thread and from knowing them personally than some who were admitted and many who were deferred/rejected. In fact, one accepted would appear to be the typical ultra-asian (ranked in piano, chess, tae kwon do) loves math, rank one, phenomenal SATS, rich, from california. And he got in. While some others who were also accomplished but seemed more "unique" did not. </p>
<p>When you have schools that get to cherry pick their classes from a pool where 70% of their applicants would be great choices; all they have to do is figure out the 30% who aren't. Once it gets to that point, it is totally arbitrary because they can be arbitrary. They may not always make the "best" decisions, but they always make good decisions.</p>
<p>So we can go on and on about who the "best" or "most qualified" people would be, and sometimes we may be right and the school may have been wrong. But that's why we're not admissions people. If you can make a choice that will make your school BETTER, the time, the passion, the momentum, and the certainty you lose searching for the absolute best choice isn't worth the marginal difference. </p>
<p>Oddly enough, i came to this conclusion after having a discussion with my dad about decision making in the business world. I think what we talked about applies here. Who'd a thunk I'd learn anything???</p>