How do you figure out what a Match and a “reach”school is when your stats are all at the top?

I would caution against thinking that being a potential athletic recruit and female is sufficient to increase chances of an MIT admit.

My sense is that MIT looks, more than many other schools, for a certain type of student – proven to be intellectually curious, someone who likes to tinker and build things, etc. – being female, high stats, and an athlete doesn’t show this.