<p>I don't think acceptance is that low for OOS, they don't get that many applicants because of lack of financial aid for OOS students. I think you have a good chance, your SATs are way high for any UC where SAT scores blow.</p>
<p>It's easy to confuse Berkeley and UCLA with "UC" as a whole. While UCLA is hard for anyone to get into, UC Riverside is open to anyone who meets the really pretty basic minimum requirements - which are posted on the UC admissions website (The strange thing is why anyone applies who is turned down - read the website, do a little basic analysis, and you know if you'll get in or not.) </p>
<p>And the out of state kicker isn't that big, either. In fact, systemwide, about 60% of international and out of state applicants were offered admission to some UC campus in 2007 - about 6,000 out of about 10,000 applicants. But they don't say which campuses they were offered admission to. UCSD, which publishes the formula used for their campus admissions, only requires an extra 100 "points" for out of state - that's 0.1 point higher GPA, or 125 extra SAT points out of SAT + 2 SAT IIs - not a big hurdle.</p>
<p>But UCLA and Berkeley are the "flagship" campuses, and they're under greater scrutiny. Their in-state and out-of-state admissions rates are far lower than the system as a whole. And like phases of the moon, every couple of years a bunch of "connected" parents who are used to getting their way, and who are convinced that their 1200 SAT, 3.4 GPA sons and daughters surely would have been admitted to Berkeley if it weren't for all those minorities getting preference <sniff> raise a huge stink, and there's another "admissions study" to "get to the bottom of this!" So I wouldn't be surprised if those two campuses felt pressure to restrict admissions offers to out of state students, too. But I bet they find a way to get the ones they want. And they actually do "walk the walk" of weighing GPA much more than test scores, as best I can tell. So high ACT or SAT scores won't make up for less than stellar grades (fortunately, the OP has the grades, too.)</sniff></p>