How screwed am I with mediocre Teacher LORs for T10s?

Applying to College
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I have really strong ECs (Published research, patent, sole founder of a community project that raised over 20k dollars) and good stats (perfect GPA, 1540 sat). So I am covered on that end. I am also a bay area asian male applying for environmental studies + cog sci. I expect my essays to be great since my consultant is a very prolific A2C user that has a 60% T10 admit rate (not scholargrade). I am planning to shotgun all the T20s.

However I do have some social anxiety in class to the point where I don’t stand out among the rest of my classmates. My eyes are glued to my computer to avert discussion at the start of class. Sure, I participate a whole lot, but I cannot make a personal connection to my teacher. In fact my own teacher shows preferable behavior to other more social students over me. She refrains from eye contact, and is more interested in other kids who participate less.

She knows of everything i am doing, but whenever I try and talk to her personally it seems like she shies away from conversation (last semester this happened a lot with me particularly, any other kid she is comfortable with). She is my only possible humanities/AP rec. If I don’t have her in the bag, I might be done for.

Of course, I might have some toxic traits that she sees in me. I hope she doesn’t say anything negative, but if she drops things that might give a slight indication to my lack of extroversion/intense social awkwardness, how screwed am I? Is it common for teacher to mention lack of peer to peer interaction. And if that happens, am I done for (in terms of T10s?)

I am worried since my friend (published research in Springer, made nationals in linguistics olympiad, national quizbowl competetor, eagle scout) got rejected from caltech and MIT. He probably will gets rejected from the other 4 ivies he applied to. His essays were pretty good and his stats were perfect. However, like me, he is extremely antisocial and disconnected. I feel like recs play a HUGE MASSIVE role that I seemingly have no control over.

Edit: The good news is that my teacher is fine with giving me a recommendation. I asked her for one for a summer program. I am just worried she will drop stuff that will make me look weird and antisocial

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As an aspect to consider as you move forward, the best colleges for a program such as environmental studies differ from those on a more general T20 list to which you may be referring. This is fortunate, actually, in that you can broaden your search while enhancing the suitability of your potential choices.

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I have personal reasons for aiming for T20s overall as ranked by USNWR. I am not interested in colleges in the environmental studies ranking personally.

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Or T10s, as ranked by USNWR overall

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I think that you might want to compare the number of applicants to Harvard, versus the number of high schools in the USA. This might give you some sense of how many applicants to Harvard are either #1 or #2 in their high school. The problem here that impacts the chances for all applicants to universities at this level is that there are many, many applicants who have nearly perfect grades and high test scores. As one example, Stanford once said in an article in the alumni magazine that 80% of applicants are academically qualified to attend Stanford. I think that MIT may have once estimated 85% of their applicants are academically qualified to attend. Both schools accept a lot fewer than this.

You need to make sure that you apply to safeties. If you want to apply to “top 10” universities they are really easy to find, since there are only 10 of them in any particular ranking and different rankings will tend to include the same universities near the top. Finding safeties can require more effort.

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Closing thread since OP violated ToS