<p>Hi M2CK – Goodness, time does fly if it’s already time for your son to be applying! I’m afraid I don’t have much to add, but I did want to affirm that I think you’re basically on the right track.</p>
<p>(1) The most important thing is admissibility; questions of “fit” can come later.
(2) Small fluctuations in MCAT score can make a large difference, which is why we can’t finalize a list yet (for example, 35 is very different from 32) – but it IS the proper time to be putting a list together, so we should start doing so even if it’ll be a little haphazard for now.
(3) In general, OOS publics are a poor gamble. Pending the MCAT, we can maybe consider UVa, UMich, or the UT system, but the others should all be struck from the list, and even these probably won’t be worth really applying to.</p>
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<p>I wish I still had a USN so I could be more specific for you! In my view, I think the best approach is still to comb through a USN* and work out which medical schools have MCAT scores within a couple points of your son’s. Obviously, this will require a little bit of stratification.</p>
<p>A few years ago, the MSAR’s “median MCAT score” was not useful because it looked at the pool of ADMITTED students rather than the pool of MATRICULANTS. It may be improved by now. Gosh, I feel old.</p>
<p>The second thing to pay attention to is admissions percentage.</p>
<p>Using those two criteria, I think you’ll be able to narrow down the list pretty well. Trends from a few years ago suggested that a candidate in the 32 range might be a good match for Mt. Sinai, Tufts, USC, VCU, NYU, and others. Some schools – Georgetown, BU, and Wake – had approximately the right MCAT scores but absurdly low admissions percentages, and I generally advised folks to stay away.</p>
<p>But … well, things might have changed. Gosh, it’s been seven years since I applied.</p>
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<p>Well, if I’m going to be old and out of date, then at least I am entitled to a little circumlocution.</p>
<p>If your son has STRONG geographic preferences then that can make things even narrower, but in general I tend to say that young people tend to overestimate the strength of their preferences. “Oh, I could never leave the South!” “Oh, I could never live in the South.” “Oh, I could NEVER live in a Red State.” “What, there, with all those hipsters and wannabe movie stars?” “I could never give up Chinese food.” “What is there to do there?”</p>
<p>For that reason, I recommend putting aside geographic preferences. First, it’s too early in the application process – we just want to make sure he gets in somewhere. Second, it’s too early in life! It’s good for folks our age to get outside of our expectations. I would NEVER have chosen to live in Durham and [two other cities with very bad reputations], but I’ve learned to fall in love with them. (I fell in love with Carolina instantly; it took me a little while to warm up to State B, and a LONG while to warm up to State A.)</p>
<p>For reasons that I’ve never understood, everybody LOVES study abroad <a href="%22Yay!%20Meet%20new%20people%20who%20have%20a%20different%20perspective%20on%20life!%22">i</a>* but hates studying in other parts of our own country <a href="%22Ugh!%20Meet%20new%20people%20who%20have%20a%20different%20outlook%20on%20life?!%22">i</a>*.</p>
<p>I certainly did when I was 18; I had to be forced to leave. But I’m so glad I was.</p>