<p>If so, when it says, for example, that I have a 52% at getting into Tulane does that mean that I literally (assuming their prediction is somewhat accurate) have a 52% of getting?</p>
<p>bump.......</p>
<p>From what I've seen they are pretty accurate. The problem with their site mainly has to do with the extracurriculars, which they seem to have no way to quantify--and with the fact that they don't consider that Weighted GPAs are computed differently at certain schools than at others (for example, they have no way to do a UC GPA). Also, they fail to consider that some schools use the writing score of the SAT and other schools don't.</p>
<p>As a result, almost all of their projections are based simply on a UW GPA and the basic SAT score (CR+M).</p>
<p>that site is REALLY cool. </p>
<p>a little funky though - it told me i have a 76% chance at Cal State Fullerton and UC Santa Cruz but a 96% at UC Davis... which seems kind of wrong to me, haha.</p>
<p>This looks really cool, but I'm not sure how realistic it is.</p>
<p>55% chance at Harvard? I don't think it should be that high. Anyone else have experience with it?</p>
<p>I think a lot of schools don't appear to have enough data for them in order to create a reliable prediction.</p>
<p>IMO the problem with that site is that they use the stats of their own members. Admitted students who have used them and given their personal stats and whether or not they were offered admission. For instance, if a member got into UCLA with a 4.8 and 2300 SAT score and that was the only data from that school, then an applicant with a 3.9 and 2200 would be considered as not having even a 1% chance of admittance. so it is slightly skewed. I wish they would use the actual colleges average admittance stats AND those of their members and I think they would have a more accurate result for their users.</p>
<p>I know their predictions aren't entirely accurate, but when it says a 52% chance at a school, does that number mean I have a coin flip at getting in, or does it mean I'm likely accepted?</p>
<p>(If it gives you a 49% chance or below, it predicts you'll get rejected; if it gives you a 50% chance or higher it predicts you'll get accepted).</p>
<p>So is the percent chance they give just a value used to determine whether they predict you'll get in or not, or is it the ACTUAL chance they give you?</p>
<p>bump............</p>
<p>Well...I HOPE it's legit!</p>
<p>It gives me a 97.4% chance of getting into UMich (top choice? I think so), 93.5% at WashU, 96.7% at Colorado College and to my great surprise 69.2% at Dartmouth. I wasn't expecting only a 15.1% chance at Pitzer but what can you do.</p>
<p>I worry that the accuracy is skewed by the number of students who don't report back with their admissions decisions, particularly those who were rejected from schools and don't want to report it back to the site.</p>
<p>80% chance at Bowdoin, 90% at UMD - CP
Only 25% at Columbia</p>
<p>I like the high scores board. It must be legit.</p>
<p>The whole idea of chances doesn't really make sense to me, since admissions aren't really a random event.</p>
<p>Well apparently ive got a 75.6% chance at WUSTL, a 43% chance at Rice, and a 1% chance at Brown. That's kinda weird. </p>
<p>???</p>