<p>First, that thread on 99+% chance of getting into at least one Ivy if you have 2300+ SAT scores is very interesting, although some of the posts are arguing about getting into ALL Ivies. The latter requires people who apply to ALL Ivies, and I have to say that’s only a very few, more now since Questbridge allows students to apply to eight schools total, and you can pick the eight Ivies.</p>
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<li>as for stat issues - entrance to the Ivies could be considered independent, as in, they are different schools and have different “secret admissions criteria” that we aren’t aware of, - or, we could consider acceptance to an Ivy as partially dependent, not on each other, but dependent on the same independent variables to some extent. So, if you do get into HYP, one would suspect your chance at getting into other Ivies is pretty good. However, if you are assuming at least one Ivy is good enough, you are really looking at perhaps 10% getting into HYP, and then the other 90% getting in to one of the ‘other’ Ivies.</li>
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<p>For example - Penn has 660 V, 690 M, and 670 W as their 25th percentile SAT scores. That’s 2020 total. 75th percentile is 750 V, 780 M, and 770 W, which is exactly 2300. It stands to reason that if you have 2300 on your SAT, you are equal to or better than 75% of the admitted Penn students.</p>
<p>This is where I got the numbers from, and you can get it for other schools:
<a href=“University of Pennsylvania Admissions Statistics and Chances | Parchment - College admissions predictions.”>University of Pennsylvania Admissions Statistics and Chances | Parchment - College admissions predictions.;
<p>I agree 100% to apply to the most logical combination, not just your first few choices only. Don’t apply anywhere you wouldn’t attend even if you got a free ride.</p>
<p>My son may end up at a state school - I teach at one, and he can go for free tuition so if he tanks senior year (or if we get into financial trouble), he’ll end up there. But in reality, if he buckles down and does well there, he can transfer to a better school and get a degree from the better school. No one’s degree says “was a transfer”. We hope he starts “at the right place” but when you start factoring in money and that the state school has a decent honors program, it’s unclear what the right place is.</p>
<p>For my son, he will likely apply ED to an Ivy, ED II to his second choice if he didn’t get in, then apply to four or five other schools if he got into neither. The aforementioned state school is listed by Parchment as a 99% chance of him getting in, not taking into account that I work there.</p>
<p>I feel like knowing earlier about where he will go, if all works out, will be best. Or even knowing if he will have to “settle”.</p>
<p>Please also realize that if you are an excellent candidate who only applies to a few schools and gets extremely unlucky as in not getting into any even RD, you will NOT have trouble getting into decent schools or okay schools with good honors programs even past the RD deadlines. My brother got into a very good (not top or Ivy, but very good) engineering school the July after he graduated, and there are many more cases.</p>
<p>The only issue with getting into a school after RD is over is getting in soon enough to get a dorm room and participate in any summer pre-freshman programs. It would not be the end of the world.</p>