My daughter was recruited, but she didn’t decide to play in college until junior year, and I was very late to the game of figuring out the best financial options. Money was a factor, so I ran every NPC every which way, based on my income at that time, what I estimated it would be (my job was ending in spring of senior year), with savings and without. Having an EFC of $0 is great and gets you lots of aid at the elite schools, but it doesn’t help enough at the schools that don’t meet full need, and it doesn’t pay the mortgage or electric bill. If you are making $30k less, it might be hard to pay the family contributions or just get the kid to and from college a few times a year. It is also not fun to be the poor kid at an elite college.
I’ve had jobs that pay more and jobs that pay less so that the kids qualified for a discount on team fees or school clubs. Believe me, getting paid more and paying your own way is better. I’m glad that my daughter didn’t take the LAC/D3/financial need based aid school. She went with D2 and merit aid combined with athletic aid, loves the school, and I feel a lot more in control of the aid. The biggest awards stay steady no matter how much I make and I don’t have to calculate that if I make $10,000 more she loses $4000 in aid.
I understand your argument, but think that it would be very difficult to 1) know the financial aid calculations for the best results and 2) do this when your child is a junior in high school so that when you use the prior prior tax year, you have the lower income for the first FAFSA/CSS filings. Also, knowing that your child is going to be a recruited athletic at one of those meets needs schools is a gamble too. I read a newspaper story today about a girl heading to Harvard to play hockey next year. She’s valedictorian, has a 4.6, and spent the last two years living with a host family in Boston to play hockey while attending h.s. long distance (and still is val). That’s the competition! Oh, and she’s also in the state finals for golf.