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<p>And this much tells me how little you actually know about mechanical engineers. Besides, if you were that good at forecasting the future of the economy, you would likely be employed doing just that.</p>
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<p>That is an absolutely fair and valid point. That is likely why the job growth predictions have been hurt over the medium-term by the recession. However, in the long-term, that is a negligible effect. Eventually they will all still retire or die.</p>
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<p>Again, jobs getting offshored is not nearly as large a problem as you claim it is.</p>
<p>You can’t discontinue too many jobs without sacrificing quality of product, so this usually tends to balance out over time. Companies will cut back, then realize they are spread to thin and expand again. Assuming we do eventually come out of this recession, that won’t likely be a significant factor. The same concept goes for consolidation of jobs. You can only combine so many jobs into one before the workforce becomes unable to handle the newly complicated jobs. For example, you can’t really have a guy designing both compressor blisks and combustion chambers for jet engines. The two require different types of expertise and the workload would be too much to the point where, once again, quality of product is affect.</p>
<p>The jobs that are more likely to get hit by consolidation are manufacturing jobs. The more automated things get, the more the need for skilled workers shrinks. However, that doesn’t really affect engineers, because while they don’t have to supervise the assembly line anymore, they do have to maintain the robots who replaced the workers.</p>