@tsbna44 Based on your analysis of the college data, were you able to make your predictions on grades and scores alone?
In other words, how much weight did you give to ECs, LORs, and essays? Assume an applicant has generally strong supplemental materials — not an outlier in either direction — and stats are within the 25-75 range, but closer to 75%. Would you predict acceptance or toss-up?
OP, to me, I think you are on track with your entire list and think the matches are numerous and solid enough, I am not sure you need more safeties.