Middle tier schools that are more selective than you expected

The one NMF finalist at my daughters school is going to attend The University of Houston, of the approximately 10 NMSF - 1 to the Air Force Academy, 1 to TAMU, 2 to UT-Austin, 1 to MIT, 1 to TCU and 2 to Baylor. Most kids who are auto accept at UT - Austin or TAMU take it., so far I have only heard 1 kids going to Rice. Baylor scoops a lot of the top 10 or 20. Val last year went to Baylor.