I agree the others that you need to ask yourself why you are reluctant to have your kid apply early. Some high schools suggest that applying early is bad because kids are making decisions in November that they wouldn’t be making in April or May. This always puzzled me, particularly for athletes. Athletes go to showcases, talk to coaches, go to camps, tour schools, go on OVs and thus often have much more information at their disposal come application time than non-recruited applicants.
Another reason is financial. Applicants lose the ability to compare financial aid offered by colleges. This is true, but in all likelihood the pot of financial aid available also is smaller come RD time.
Then there is the parent perspective: “Don’t let them force you into applying early.” Really, the whole recruiting system would collapse if there was no certainty through applying early. Instead of recruiting - say - 5 players, a coach would have to recruit 25 because many of the recruits might well go elsewhere. This would leave less space in the class for non-athletes. And if by contrast all 25 decided to attend, the coach would have to cut 20 players. It just isn’t workable for the school or athlete.
The down-side of not applying ED for athletes is multi-faceted. First, the mere fact that your kid falls into the top 25% of academic stats does not mean that he or she is going to be admitted. It probably means that he or she is more likely to be admitted than if he or she were in the middle range, but at the tippy top schools rafts of kids with stats that would put them in the top 25% are not admitted (don’t forget yield protection). By contrast, an athlete with a positive reread, coach support and that applies early has a very good shot of being admitted.
Second, if the coach only needs one pitcher (yeah, I know, you can never have too many), if you skip ED the coach in all likelihood will find someone else that will apply ED. Thus, the roster spot can also become an issue.
Third, it can be a real pain to apply to ten schools, particularly if your kid has to write more than one essay.
In all, we were grateful for the recruiting process and to apply ED. Keep an open mind and do what is right for your kid.