<p>Marite:</p>
<p>The belt-tightening due to decreased endowment payout, greater financial aid discounting, and so forth is universal. All colleges and universities – from Harvard to Bunker Hill Community College – are going through that process.</p>
<p>This cash flow thing is a different issue. The big endowments all invested in private equity, leveraged buyout, and timber/oil/gas partnerships. These are not investments that are traded on a stock exchange. There’s little or no market for selling them and there’s no easy way to price the value of these investments. Most of these investments are structured with cash calls. In other words, you sign a legally binding agreement to invest $500 million with Bain Capital over the next three years. Bain takes $100 million now and buys some company to plunder, strip of its assets, load up with debt, and sell to some larger fool in an ever increasing bubble market. They can come back at any time and make you pony up the additional $400 million cash money. The colleges thought they were safe because they used the profits from the last Bain Capital deal to cover the following year’s cash calls. As long as the bubble market kept every deal profitable, no sweat. For some astonishing reason, none of the brilliant investment managers ever considered that the market would collapse and, therefore, never worried about where they could get the cash to meet these cash call obligations.</p>
<p>But, guess what happened on the way to the forum? The market crashed. All of Bain’s deals for the last three years are now worth ZERO. They aren’t returning any profit to Harvard. And, they are all coming demaning cash on the outstanding cash calls. Harvard can’t raise the kind of cash we are talking about. They are so heavily invested in these kinds of investments that they have relatively little left in traditional stocks and bonds that can actually be sold. They tried to sell $1.5 billion of their positions in Bain and similar private partnerships and couldn’t find any buyers in a small secondary market except for pennies on the dollar. Finding the prices being offered unacceptable, Harvard gave up and started borrowing money to fund the various cash calls.</p>
<p>I haven’t studied Harvard’s financials so let me give you a simllar, but smaller example. Amherst’s endowment is now worth somewhere between $1.0 billion and $1.2 billion. Less than 40% ($400,000) of it is in liquid investments like stocks and bonds that can be sold. $600,000 is in these private partnerships that can’t be sold.</p>
<p>Guess how much their outstanding cash call commitments are? $503 million dollars! In other words, they could cash out everything they could possibly sell at firesale prices and still maybe not have enough cash to cover the cash call commitments. And, even if they cover them, they end up with an endowment that is so high risk, it’s off the charts. And that’s before we even talk about the cash for next year’s endowment spending. It is really ugly. That’s why, like Harvard, Amherst just borrowed (taxable bonds) for operating cash. The only difference is the size. Amherst borrowed $100 million, Harvard borrowed $1.5 billion.</p>
<p>What really should happen is that Harvard should tell Bain to go pound sand and refuse to pour more cash down the black hole. But, because these schools endowments are so large, they wag the market. If Harvard did this, it would instantly make all such private equity investments worth zero, including their own. I figure they are going to have to quietly work a deal with the Bain Capitals where the cash calls just stop coming.</p>