@liska21 your story is very helpful. I’ve already been thinking about how many match LACs our S19 should have on his list. You are correct in saying that it would be nice for him to still have multiple schools to choose from.
I also worry about how much interest to show. I still find it hard to believe that, if a student has a strong application, visits the schools, does an interview if offered, and writes a good “why x school” essay, they would be wait listed just because they go RD instead of ED. I think I may talk to our guidance counselor and possibly a private coach to see what they’ve seen historically from our area to get more insight