“Not College Material”, or 50 years in Higher Education

[ucbalumnus]

@roesthlisburger

There are no guarantees of success or failure in most areas of life, anymore than you can guarantee someone will lose money at a casino. You can know whether the odds are in your favor, and a combination of SAT/ACT scores and GPA explains most of the variance in college graduation rates at 4-year institutions. More complex models, which explain more of the variance, are obviously possible.

At what odds (or high school GPA and SAT/ACT scores) do you think that states should declare potential students to be “not college material” and close the doors of currently-open-admission community colleges to them, rather than allowing them a chance to see if they can succeed in college?