<p>This thread points to key realities of admission in the Ivies: </p>
<p>(1) it involves subjective multi-dimensional judgment</p>
<pre><code>You could eliminate judgment by using only test scores, but the test scores are weak predictors of college success, and even weaker for non-whites and non-traditional students. SATs slightly overpredict success for men and underpredict for women. Grades and class rank are better predictors, but theres still a problem of how to adjust for differences in school size and quality. The Ives have a formula for this the Academic Index (AI),originally developed to enforce standards in recruiting athletes. The AI works pretty well in the aggregate, but it wont be right in every individual case. So, even using the most straightforward, quantifiable measures available, it still takes some guesswork to rank candidates.
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<p>(2)** the judgments reflect trade-offs among conflicting values**</p>
<p>If you used only the AI, youd risk winding up with a dismal football team and a class full of reclusive nerds who all grew up in Brooklyn because youre missing the natural leaders, all-state athletes, and world-class artists and musicians. As soon as you include those additional criteria, youre in murky territory where you need to somehow judge the relative merits of school presidents, basketball point guards, world class violinists, science award winners, and so on. </p>
<pre><code>In some cases, the process is simplified by quotas. Every Ivy league football coach, for example, gets to admit 30 students. It works something like this: the coach develops a list of 30 top recruits based on his recruiting needs and his need to conform to AI requirements. The coach meets with the admissions rep who judges whether each student can be admitted. If any are turned down, the coach substitutes backups until he meets his quota of 30. The quota gets changed from time to time by the Ivy presidents it was reduced from 35 to 30 in 2002. The quotas vary by sport, but coaches will generally get almost everyone on their final list admitted, and, for both men and women, most varsity athletes are recruits, who might add up to 15% of a class.
Coaches would like even more recruits, but they have to contend with many other claimants, like, for example, music. Who wants to go to a school where no one can sing or play? In music, theres no quota, but the music department grades the quality of cds submitted by musician applicants, and provides a priority list of instruments for that year.
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<p>(3) the judgments are based on incomplete and sometimes ambiguous or misleading information</p>
<pre><code>Remember, the Adcom has never met you, and isnt really judging you. Theyre judging a stylized version of you depicted by your Common App. Applicants try to put their best put forward, and they have considerable leeway in crafting essays and presenting their ECs. Some probably do a better job than others of telling a persuasive story or gilding the lily. Some receive more help from parents or paid professionals. Some students have fast computers and internet connections in their bedroom; others have to craft their essays at the local library. Some students attend schools whose guidance counselors are on a first-name basis with Ivy admissions officers; others are at schools where the GC couldnt find Yale on a map. Adcoms try to see through all this and read between the lines to get at the truth. One reason regional reps are important is that its their job to try to get to know the schools and localities in their region so as to be able to put information in context. But a lot comes down to intuition and guesswork.
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<p>(4) the judgments are made not by a single individual, but from a complex set of interactions among multiple participants. </p>
<pre><code>You apply to Harvard and maybe three different people read your application and rate it from 1 (amazing) to 6 (not a prayer). If all three give low ratings, thats pretty much the end of it it would take a miracle to get you in. But if you survive that initial cut, your application goes to one of 20 regional committees. One of those committees probably has more than a thousand applications to consider, but they wont spend much time on the lost causes or the sure bets (the superstars, athletic recruits, development admits, etc.). Theyll focus on the maybes who have to be among the strongest in a strong pool. Itll help a lot if someone really likes something about your application. If your app comes through the region in good shape, it moves on to the full committee of some 35 people, where the final decisions are made. In that group are more senior people and junior people – your regional rep might be in her first or her 20th year on admissions. Some are more persuasive, articulate or aggressive than others. In a context where everyone is outstanding, and the differences among them are often very subtle, all those things could make a difference, above and beyond whats in your application – candidate A might get the nod over B solely because A had a better, more influential advocate.
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<p>All that is to say that kimathi is correct. It’s a serious and thoughtful process, but it’s not God at work, it’s a group of dedicated, hard-working but imperfect humans. There’s a lot of serendipity involved. One final thing to remember – the most recent research consistently finds no correlation between life success and the prestige of the college you attend, after controlling for ability. Equally talented applicants who go to Harvard and Big State U are likely to be equally successful in life. This is something that most Ivy applicants and alums probably find hard to believe. How could those big endowments, superstar profs and spectacularly talented classmates not catapult you to success? But, so far at least, that’s not what the research is finding.</p>