Penn State - U Park chances?

Hi! I will be applying this application cycle (in the fall), and I was wondering what my chances are.

UW GPA: 3.91
W GPA: 4.22
ACT: 30
OOS (Michigan)

I took the most rigorous classes offered. I was considering not writing the essay… should I write it? What are my overall chances? Thank you!

Practically an academic safety. Consider applying for Schreyer.